... Strong to severe storms from late this morning through this
evening...
... Damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes possible...
Strong low pressure will develop over the northern Gulf of Mexico
and move northeast toward the Ohio Valley by late today. This will
allow a trailing cold front to approach from the west with a squall
line containing strong to possibly severe storms ahead of it.
Although atmospheric instability will be modest... strong winds aloft
in combination with strong lift from the cold front will support
strong to severe thunderstorms. The primary threat from these severe
storms will be damaging winds but there is a risk of an isolated
tornado. Cloud-to-ground lightning and very heavy rainfall will also
accompany the squall line. Although there is some uncertainty on the
timing of the squall line... the best estimate at this time is it
moving to an Alma to Live Oak line by mid-afternoon... then to
coastal counties by this evening. The severe weather threat will be
ending tonight as the cold front sweeps south of the area. The Storm
Prediction Center has highlighted a slight risk of severe
thunderstorms for all of northeast Florida and southeast Georgia.
Outside of the main line of showers and storms... individual showers
and thunderstorms may produce wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph late
Wednesday morning through Wednesday night. Winds of this intensity
are capable of uprooting small trees and overturning sheds and small
structures. Isolated thunderstorms ahead of the main squall line may
become severe during the afternoon hours.
Law enforcement agencies... emergency management officials... storm
spotter groups... and other interested concerns should monitor this
situation and take appropriate action should severe weather approach
your area.
Marine interests operating in the coastal and inland waters... be
aware of the risk of high winds and rough seas with approaching
storms and be prepared to seek safe Harbor.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio... commercial television or radio
stations... or your cable television provider for later statements
concerning this severe weather event.